Wird es 2026 einen Weltkrieg geben?
Wahrscheinlich nein. (27.6 %)
Analyse
Wahrscheinlich nein. (27.6 %)
Die kalibrierte Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit liegt aktuell bei 27.6% bei einer Modell-Confidence von 73.7%.
Stärkstes Contra-Signal: Trump rejects efforts to launch Iran ceasefire talks, sources say
Signale & Argumente
Pro
Keine Pro-Signale
Contra
Trump rejects efforts to launch Iran ceasefire talks, sources say
Exclusive: Trump rejects efforts to launch Iran ceasefire talks, sources say (öffnet in neuem Tab)
Trump rejects efforts to launch Iran ceasefire talks, sources say.
Exclusive: Trump rejects efforts to launch Iran ceasefire talks, sources say (öffnet in neuem Tab)
Unsicherheiten
Keine Unsicherheiten
Quellen (7)
Canadian PM, Qatari emir discuss diplomacy to prevent wider war in Middle East (öffnet in neuem Tab)
Canadian PM, Qatari emir discuss diplomacy to prevent wider war in Middle East Reuters
news.google.com09.03.2026US says Trump prefers diplomacy with Iran but warns he has military options (öffnet in neuem Tab)
US says Trump prefers diplomacy with Iran but warns he has military options Reuters
news.google.com06.02.2026Exclusive: Trump rejects efforts to launch Iran ceasefire talks, sources say (öffnet in neuem Tab)
Exclusive: Trump rejects efforts to launch Iran ceasefire talks, sources say Reuters
news.google.com14.03.2026World leaders show caution on Trump's broader 'Board of Peace' amid fears for UN (öffnet in neuem Tab)
World leaders show caution on Trump's broader 'Board of Peace' amid fears for UN Reuters
news.google.com19.01.2026NATO news (öffnet in neuem Tab)
NATO news
www.nato.int- news.un.org
U.S. State Department News (öffnet in neuem Tab)
U.S. State Department News
www.state.gov
Forecast vom 13.04.2026 · 85d3aa3d-6f0e-4353-842a-c4fae31a7759